The drying up of Britain? A national estimate of changes in seasonal river flows from 11 Regional Climate Model simulations
Christel Prudhomme(UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology), Andy Young(UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology), Glenn Watts(UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology), Tracey Haxton(UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology), Sue Crooks(UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology), Jennifer Williamson(UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology), Helen Davies(UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology), Simon Dadson(UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology), Stuart Allen(UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology)
Cited by 101Open Access
Abstract
Abstract As climate change may modify the hydrological cycle significantly, understanding the impact on river flow is important because it affects long‐term water resources planning. Here, we describe a high‐resolution British assessment of changes in river flows in the 2050s under 11 different realisations of HadRM3. In winter, river flows may either increase or decrease, with a wide range of possible decreases in summer flow. These results should encourage adaptation that copes with a broad range of future hydrological conditions. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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