Do Ceasefires Work? A Bayesian autoregressive hidden Markov model to explore how ceasefires shape the dynamics of violence in civil war

Jonathan Williams(Harvard University), Håvard Strand(University of Oslo), Gudmund Horn Hermansen(Norwegian Academy of Science and Letters), Håvard Mokleiv Nygård(Peace Research Institute Oslo), Siri Aas Rustad(Peace Research Institute Oslo), Govinda Clayton(University of Kent)
arXiv (Cornell University)
October 8, 2021
Cited by 0


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