Russell H. Wiesner

In 1999, the Institute of Medicine suggested that instituting a continuous disease severity score that de-emphasizes waiting time could improve the allocation of cadaveric livers for transplantation. This report describes the development and initial implementation of this new plan. The goal was to develop a continuous disease severity scale that uses objective, readily available variables to predict mortality risk in patients with end-stage liver disease and reduce the emphasis on waiting time. Mechanisms were also developed for inclusion of good transplant candidates who do not have high risk of death but for whom transplantation may be urgent. The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and Pediatric End-Stage Liver Disease (PELD) scores were selected as the basis for the new allocation policy because of their high degree of accuracy for predicting death in patients having a variety of liver disease etiologies and across a broad spectrum of liver disease severity. Except for the most urgent patients, all patients will be ranked continuously under the new policy by their MELD/PELD score. Waiting time is used only to prioritize patients with identical MELD/PELD scores. Patients who are not well served by the MELD/PELD scores can be prioritized through a regionalized peer review system. This new liver allocation plan is based on more objective, verifiable measures of disease severity with minimal emphasis on waiting time. Application of such risk models provides an evidenced-based approach on which to base further refinements and improve the model.

Nonanastomotic biliary strictures that involve only the biliary tree of the graft occur after orthotopic liver transplantation in patients with hepatic artery thrombosis, chronic ductopenic rejection and ABO blood group incompatibility. This complication may also occur in the absence of these known risk factors. The major focus of our study was to evaluate the risk factors for nonanastomotic biliary stricturing of unknown cause after orthotopic liver transplantation. Results demonstrate that the development of biliary strictures is strongly associated with the duration of cold ischemic storage of allografts in both Euro-Collins solution and University of Wisconsin solution. Results also demonstrate that strictures are not associated with the type of biliary reconstruction, the primary liver disease, cytomegalovirus infection, allograft rejection or the presence of a positive lymphocytotoxic crossmatch. More recently, we have markedly reduced the occurrence of nonanastomotic biliary stricturing by decreasing the ischemia time of our allografts. Thus nonanastomotic biliary strictures appear to be the result of the ischemia/reperfusion-induced tissue injury associated with the harvest and implantation of allografts.

Posttransplantation lymphoproliferative disorder (PTLD) is an uncommon but often fatal complication of solid organ transplantation that occurs in approximately 3% of patients. To determine the relative importance and relationship of potential risk factors for PTLD before transplantation (i.e., Epstein-Barr virus [EBV] serostatus of the recipient and the cytomegalovirus [CMV] sero-status of the recipient and the potential donor) and the principal risk factor after transplantation (immunosuppression with antilymphocyte antibody), we analyzed the findings for the first 381 consecutive adult nonrenal transplant recipients seen at Mayo Clinic. In the absence of the other risk factors, the incidence rate of PTLD for EBV-seronegative recipients was 24 times higher (95% confidence interval [CI]: 6.2, 89) than that for EBV-seropositive recipients. The additional risk factors of therapy with OKT3 for rejection and CMV seromismatch (i.e., a negative recipient and a positive donor) each further amplified this risk four- to sixfold. Together, all three risk factors acted synergistically to increase the incidence rate of fatal and/or CNS PTLD by a factor of 654 (CI: 368, 1,162) compared with the low incidence rate (.458 cases per 100 person years) when none of these risk factors were present. Pretransplantation determination of recipient EBV and CMV serostatus can identify a subgroup of patients whose risk for severe PTLD may preclude transplantation.

BACKGROUND: The relative importance and interrelationship of risk factors for posttransplantation lymphoproliferative disorder are poorly understood. METHODS: The prospective pretransplantation serologic testing for Epstein-Barr virus of all nonrenal solid organ transplant recipients at our institution made it possible to assess the relative risk for posttransplantation lymphoproliferative disorder in seropositive and seronegative recipients. RESULTS: Fourteen cases of lymphoproliferative disorder were identified in the first 389 consecutive transplant recipients (288 liver, 44 heart, 20 lung, 37 kidney-pancreas) undergoing transplantation from 1985 to 1992 (mean follow-up 33 months). The incidence rates of lymphoproliferative disorder (per 100 person-years) during the first 2 years after transplantation (a period in which all cases occurred) were 1.4 for liver, 2.0 for heart, 6.2 for lung, and 5.2 for kidney-pancreas transplant recipients and were significantly different between liver and lung (p = 0.005) and liver and kidney-pancreas (p = 0.002) groups. Of 367 seropositive patients, lymphoproliferative disorder developed in only three. The incidence rate ratios between seronegative and seropositive recipients were as follows: 76 ([95% confidence interval; 46, 144], p = 0.0000) for any form of lymphoproliferative disorder and 145 ([60, 347], p = 0.0000) for fatal or brain forms. The incidence rate of lymphoproliferative disorder was significantly higher for seronegative recipients who required antilymphocyte antibody therapy for rejection than for those who received none. CONCLUSIONS: The high intrinsic risk for lymphoproliferative disorder in the Epstein-Barr virus seronegative patient, which is amplified by higher levels of immunosuppression, may, in some instances, preclude transplantation.