Marielle Nobbenhuis

The relation between human papillomavirus type 16 (HPV 16) viral load in cervical scrapes and development of high-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN II or III) was studied in a nested case-control study of women with normal cytology (group A) and in a cohort of women with abnormal cytology (group B). HPV 16 DNA load was determined using a quantitative real-time PCR assay. In group A, case women (women with CIN II/III, n = 12) had a significantly higher viral load than control women (women with CIN < or = I, n = 47). This resulted in an increased relative risk of women with the 50% highest viral load for development of CIN II/III (OR 7.7; CI 1.6-33). In group B, women with CIN II/III (n = 38) had a significantly higher viral load than women with CIN < or = I (n = 25). Women with the 50% highest viral load had an increased relative risk of CIN II/III (OR 3.2; CI 1.1-9.3) and a decreased chance of both viral clearance and cytologic regression. Our data suggest that in women with normal cytology an increased HPV 16 load confers an increased risk of developing a CIN lesion. A sustained high viral load is subsequently informative for progression to a high-grade CIN lesion.

We assessed a possible role for high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) testing in the policy after treatment for cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) 2 or 3 (moderate to severe dysplasia). According to the Dutch guidelines follow-up after treatment consists of cervical cytology at 6, 12 and 24 months. Colposcopy is only performed in case of abnormal cervical cytology. In this observational study 184 women treated for CIN 2 or 3 were prospectively monitored by cervical cytology and high-risk HPV testing 3, 6, 9, 12 and 24 months after treatment. Post-treatment CIN 2/3 was present in 29 women (15.8%). A positive high-risk HPV test 6 months after treatment was more predictive for post-treatment CIN 2/3 than abnormal cervical cytology (sensitivity 90% and 62% respectively, with similar specificity). At 6 months the negative predictive value of a high-risk HPV negative, normal smear, was 99%. Largely overlapping, partly different groups of women with post-treatment CIN 2/3 were identified by HPV testing and cervical cytology. Based on these results we advocate to include high-risk HPV testing in monitoring women initially treated for CIN 2/3. In case of a high-risk HPV positive test or abnormal cervical cytology, colposcopy is indicated. All women should be tested at 6 and 24 months after treatment and only referred to the population-based cervical cancer screening programme when the tests are negative on both visits.