Xionghua Wu

The test-negative design (TND) is an efficient form of case-control study commonly applied to influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) estimation. TND validity is predicated on the core assumption that the intervention (vaccine) has no effect on other non-targeted aetiologies resulting in similar illness/disease. Here we verify this core assumption and compare efficacy estimates derived by the TND versus classical per-protocol analysis of four datasets obtained from randomised placebo-controlled clinical trials (RCT) of the live attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV) in children ≤7 years-old and the elderly ≥60 years-old. We further assess generalisability of the TND approach in two other RCT datasets to evaluate monoclonal antibody in the prevention of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) hospitalisation. Efficacy estimates and their confidence intervals were virtually identical for per-protocol RCT versus TND analyses of LAIV and also for RSV monoclonal antibody. Neither LAIV nor monoclonal antibodies affected the risk of disease aetiologies that were not specifically targeted by the respective interventions (e.g. other respiratory viruses). This study validates the core assumption of the TND approach for influenza vaccine efficacy estimation and confirms the accuracy and precision of its estimates compared to the gold standard of classic per-protocol RCT analysis of the same data sets. The TND approach is generalisable for other conditions such as RSV for which the core assumption is also met. However, when used in observational studies, the TND, like all designs, still requires assessment for bias and confounding that may exist in the absence of randomised participation and blinded follow-up.

BACKGROUND: Immunoglobulin A (IgA) is the predominant antibody produced in response to mucosal infections. The role of IgA in providing protection against influenza in children vaccinated with live attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV) has not been well described. METHODS: Nasal IgA responses were assessed using data from 3 prospective, 2-year, randomized studies comparing LAIV with placebo in children 6-36 months of age. In each study, samples were collected in a subset of patients; a new cohort was enrolled each year. Ratios of strain-specific nasal IgA to total nasal IgA were calculated and prevaccination to postvaccination geometric mean fold-rises (GMFRs) were evaluated. Mean postvaccination IgA ratios were compared for subjects with and without confirmed influenza illness by study and in pooled analyses. RESULTS: Across studies, a higher percentage of children receiving LAIV had a ≥ 2-fold increase in strain-specific IgA ratio compared with placebo recipients. GMFRs after LAIV in years 1 and 2 ranged from 1.2 to 6.2, compared with 0.5-2.2 among placebo recipients. Similar responses were observed in subjects who were baseline seronegative and seropositive based on serum hemagglutination inhibition antibody titers. In years 1 and 2, the mean postvaccination strain-specific to total IgA ratio was 3.1-fold (P<0.01) and 2.0-fold (P<0.03) higher among LAIV recipients with no evidence of culture-confirmed influenza illness compared with LAIV recipients who developed culture-confirmed influenza illness; a similar and consistent trend was observed for each individual study and type/subtype. CONCLUSIONS: The current analysis demonstrates that nasal IgA contributes to the efficacy of LAIV and can provide evidence of vaccine-induced immunity. However, the inherent heterogeneity in nasal antibody levels and variability in nasal specimen collection hinders the precise evaluation of mucosal antibody responses. Other studies have demonstrated that LAIV-induced immunity is also partially explained by T-cell immunity, serum antibody responses, and innate immunity, consistent with the multi-faceted nature of immunity induced by wild-type influenza infection and other live virus vaccines.

BACKGROUND: Nine randomized controlled clinical trials, including approximately 26,000 children aged 6 months to 17 years, have evaluated the efficacy of live attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV) against culture-confirmed influenza illness compared with placebo or trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (TIV). The objective of the current analysis was to integrate available LAIV efficacy data in children aged 2-17 years, the group for whom LAIV is approved for use. METHODS: A meta-analysis was conducted using all available randomized controlled trials and a fixed-effects model. Cases caused by drifted influenza B were analyzed as originally classified and with all antigenic variants classified as dissimilar. RESULTS: Five placebo-controlled trials (4 were 2-season trials) and 3 single-season TIV-controlled trials were analyzed. Compared with placebo, year 1 efficacy of 2 doses of LAIV was 83% (95% CI: 78, 87) against antigenically similar strains; efficacy was 87% (95% CI: 78, 93), 86% (95% CI: 79, 91), and 76% (95% CI: 63, 84) for A/H1N1, A/H3N2, and B, respectively. Classifying B variants as dissimilar, efficacy against all similar strains was 87% (95% CI: 83, 91) and 93% (95% CI: 83, 97) against similar B strains. Year 2 efficacy was 87% (95% CI: 82, 91) against similar strains. Compared with TIV, LAIV recipients experienced 44% (95% CI: 28, 56) and 48% (95% CI: 38, 57) fewer cases of influenza illness caused by similar strains and all strains, respectively. LAIV efficacy estimates for children from Europe, the United States, and Middle East were robust and were similar to or higher than those for the overall population. CONCLUSIONS: In children aged 2-17 years, LAIV demonstrated high efficacy after 2 doses in year 1 and revaccination in year 2, and greater efficacy compared with TIV. This meta-analysis provides precise estimates of LAIV efficacy among the approved pediatric age group.