Risk Assessment of Hepatitis B Virus–Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma Development Using Liver Stiffness Measurement (FibroScan) σUNLABELLED: Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) using FibroScan accurately assesses the degree of liver fibrosis and the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients with chronic hepatitis C. This study investigated the usefulness of LSM as a predictor of HCC development in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). A total of 1,130 patients with non-biopsy-proven CHB who underwent LSM between May 2005 and December 2007 were enrolled in this prospective study. After LSM was performed, patients attended regular follow-up as part of a surveillance program for the detection of HCC. The mean age of the patients (767 men, 363 women) was 50.2 years, and the median LSM was 7.7 kPa. Six hundred seventy-two (59.5%) patients received antiviral treatment before or after enrollment. During the follow-up period (median, 30.7 months; range, 24.0-50.9 months), HCC developed in 57 patients (2.0% per 1 person-year). The 1-, 2-, and 3-year cumulative incidence rates of HCC were 0.80%, 3.26%, and 5.98%, respectively. On multivariate analysis, together with old age, male sex, heavy alcohol consumption (>80 g/day), serum albumin, and hepatitis B e antigen positivity, patients with a higher LSM (>8 kPa) were at a significantly greater risk of HCC development, with the following hazard ratios: 3.07 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-9.31; P = 0.047) for LSM 8.1-13 kPa; 4.68 (95% CI, 1.40-15.64; P = 0.012) for LSM 13.1-18 kPa; 5.55 (95% CI, 1.53-20.04; P = 0.009) for LSM 18.1-23 kPa; and 6.60 (95% CI, 1.83-23.84; P = 0.004) for LSM >23 kPa. CONCLUSION: Our data suggest that LSM could be a useful predictor of HCC development in patients with CHB.
Sarcopenia is associated with significant liver fibrosis independently of obesity and insulin resistance in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: Nationwide surveys (KNHANES 2008‐2011)UNLABELLED: Sarcopenia is associated with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). This study investigated whether sarcopenia is associated with significant liver fibrosis in subjects with NAFLD. Data from the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys 2008-2011 database were analyzed. NALFD was defined by NAFLD liver fat score, comprehensive NAFLD score, or hepatic steatosis index. Degree of liver fibrosis was assessed by NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), FIB-4, and Forns index. Significant liver fibrosis was defined as FIB-4 ≥2.67 and the highest quartile values of NFS and Forns index. Sarcopenia index (= total appendicular skeletal muscle mass [kg]/body mass index (kg/m(2) ]) was calculated using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. Using the NAFLD liver fat score, NAFLD was identified in 2761 (28.5%) of 9676 subjects. Of subjects with NAFLD, sarcopenia was identified in 337 (12.2%). Sarcopenia was significantly associated with significant liver fibrosis assessed in fibrosis prediction models (all P < 0.05). In subgroups stratified according to body mass index and homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance, a significant association between sarcopenia and significant liver fibrosis by NFS was consistently present (odds ratio = 1.76-2.68 depending on the subgroup, all P < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated an independent association between SI and significant liver fibrosis by NFS after adjusting for other confounders (odds ratio = 0.52-0.67, all P < 0.01). Other NAFLD (comprehensive NAFLD score, hepatic steatosis index) and fibrosis prediction models (FIB-4 and Forns index) produced similar results. CONCLUSION: Sarcopenia is associated with significant liver fibrosis in subjects with NAFLD, and the association is independent of obesity and insulin resistance.
Validation of FIB-4 and comparison with other simple noninvasive indices for predicting liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in hepatitis B virus-infected patientsBACKGROUNDS: To optimize management and predict long-term clinical courses in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB), noninvasive tests to determine the degree of hepatic fibrosis have been developed. AIMS: This study aimed to validate a simple, noninvasive FIB-4 index, which was first derived from an HCV-HIV-co-infected population, in patients with CHB and to compare it with other noninvasive tests for predicting cirrhosis. METHODS: From 2006-2008, a total of 668 consecutive CHB patients who underwent liver biopsies were enrolled. The fibrosis stage was assessed according to the Batts and Ludwig system by a single pathologist blinded to patients' data. RESULTS: For prediction of significant (F > or = 2) and severe (F > or = 3) fibrosis, and cirrhosis (F = 4), the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curves were 0.865, 0.910 and 0.926 respectively. In predicting cirrhosis, it demonstrated diagnostic values comparable to the age-spleen platelet ratio index (0.937, P=0.414) and age-platelet index (0.928, P=0.888), and better outcomes than spleen-platelet ratio index (0.882, P=0.007), aspartate aminotransferase (AST)-platelet ratio index (0.731, P<0.001) and AST-alanine aminotransferase ratio index (0.730, P<0.001). FIB-4 cut-offs of 1.6 and 3.6 provided 93.2% negative predictive value and 90.8% positive predictive value for detection of cirrhosis respectively. Based on these results, liver biopsy could be avoided in 70.5% of the study population. These cut-offs were validated internally using bootstrap resampling methods, showing good agreement. CONCLUSIONS: FIB-4 is a simple, accurate and inexpensive method of predicting cirrhosis, with outcomes comparable to other noninvasive tests and may reduce the need for liver biopsy in the majority of CHB patients.
Performance of Transient Elastography for the Staging of Liver Fibrosis in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B: A Meta-AnalysisBACKGROUND: Transient elastography (TE), a non-invasive tool that measures liver stiffness, has been evaluated in meta-analyses for effectiveness in assessing liver fibrosis in European populations with chronic hepatitis C (CHC). However, these data cannot be extrapolated to populations in Asian countries, where chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is more prevalent. In this study, we performed a meta-analysis to assess the overall performance of TE for assessing liver fibrosis in patients with CHB. METHODS: Studies from the literature and international conference abstracts which enrolled only patients with CHB or performed a subgroup analysis of such patients were enrolled. Combined effects were calculated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROC) and diagnostic accuracy values of each study. RESULT: A total of 18 studies comprising 2,772 patients were analyzed. The mean AUROCs for the diagnosis of significant fibrosis (F2), severe fibrosis (F3), and cirrhosis (F4) were 0.859 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.857-0.860), 0.887 (95% CI, 0.886-0.887), and 0.929 (95% CI, 0.928-0.929), respectively. The estimated cutoff for F2 was 7.9 (range, 6.1-11.8) kPa, with a sensitivity of 74.3% and specificity of 78.3%. For F3, the cutoff value was determined to be 8.8 (range, 8.1-9.7) kPa, with a sensitivity of 74.0% and specificity of 63.8%. The cutoff value for F4 was 11.7 (range, 7.3-17.5) kPa, with a sensitivity of 84.6% and specificity of 81.5%. CONCLUSION: TE can be performed with good diagnostic accuracy for quantifying liver fibrosis in patients with CHB.
A Liver Stiffness Measurement-Based, Noninvasive Prediction Model for High-Risk Esophageal Varices in B-Viral Liver CirrhosisBeom Kyung Kim, Kwang‐Hyub Han, Jun Yong Park et al.|The American Journal of Gastroenterology|2010 OBJECTIVES: Periodic endoscopic screening for esophageal varices (EVs) and prophylactic treatment for high-risk EVs ((HEVs); (1) medium/large EVs and (2) small EVs with red sign or decompensated cirrhosis) are currently recommended for all cirrhotic patients. However, if a simple, noninvasive test is available, many low-risk patients may safely avoid endoscopy. We developed and validated a new liver stiffness measurement (LSM)-based prediction model for HEVs. METHODS: We prospectively enrolled 280 consecutive B-viral cirrhosis patients from 2005 to 2007 (training set) and 121 from 2007 to 2008 (validation set). All underwent laboratory workups, endoscopy, LSM, and ultrasonography. For detection of HEVs, univariate and multivariate analysis were performed, using chi2-test/t-test and logistic regression, respectively. A prediction model was derived from multivariate predictors. RESULTS: In the training set, 90 had HEVs, and multivariate analysis showed significant differences in LSM, spleen diameter, and platelet count between patients with and without HEVs. We developed LSM-spleen diameter to platelet ratio score (LSPS): LSM x spleen diameter/platelet count. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) in the training set was 0.954. At LSPS<3.5, 94.0% negative predictive value (NPV) was provided (184 patients), whereas 94.2% positive predictive value (PPV) was achieved (69 patients) at LSPS>5.5. Overall, the likelihood of HEVs was correctly diagnosed in 253 patients (90.3%). Its predictive values were maintained at similar accuracy in subsequent validation set (AUROC=0.953; 94.7% NPV/93.3% PPV at cutoff 3.5/5.5, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: LSPS is a reliable, noninvasive method for detection of HEVs. Patients with LSPS<3.5 may avoid endoscopy safely, whereas those with LSPS>5.5 should be considered for appropriate prophylactic treatments.