Karin Galil

BACKGROUND: Varicella zoster virus (VZV) causes varicella and, later in the life of the host, may reactivate to cause herpes zoster (HZ). Because it is hypothesized that exposure to varicella may boost immunity to latent VZV, the vaccination-associated decrease in varicella disease has led some to suggest that the incidence of HZ might increase. We assessed the impact that varicella vaccination has on the incidence of varicella and of HZ. METHODS: Codes for cases of varicella and of HZ in an HMO were determined in automated databases of inpatients and outpatients, on the basis of the Ninth Revision of the International Classification of Diseases. We calculated the incidence, during 1992-2002, of varicella and of HZ. RESULTS: The incidence of HZ remained stable as the incidence of varicella decreased. Age-adjusted and -specific annual incidence rates of varicella decreased steadily, starting with 1999. The age-adjusted rates decreased from 2.63 cases/1000 person-years during 1995 to 0.92 cases/1000 person-years during 2002; among children 1-4 years old, there was a 75% decrease between 1992-1996 and 2002. Age-adjusted and -specific annual incidence rates of HZ fluctuated slightly over time; the age-adjusted rate was highest, at 4.05 cases/1000 person-years, in 1992, and was 3.71 cases/1000 person-years in 2002. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings revealed that the vaccination-associated decrease in varicella disease did not result in an increase in the incidence of HZ. These early findings will have to be confirmed as the incidence of varicella disease continues to decrease.

BACKGROUND: In seven studies of the effectiveness of the varicella vaccine conducted since it was licensed, the effectiveness was 71 to 100 percent against disease of any severity and 95 to 100 percent against moderate and severe disease. We investigated an outbreak of varicella in a population of children with a high proportion of vaccinees who were attending a day-care center in a small community in New Hampshire. METHODS: Using standardized questionnaires, we collected information about the children's medical and vaccination history from parents and health care providers. The analysis of the effectiveness of the vaccine and of risk factors for vaccine failure was restricted to children who were enrolled in the day-care center continuously during the outbreak and attended for one week or more and who were cared for in the building that represented the epicenter of the outbreak, since transmission was not documented in a second building. RESULTS: Varicella developed in 25 of 88 children (28.4 percent) between December 1, 2000, and January 11, 2001. The index case occurred in a healthy child who had been vaccinated three years previously and who infected more than 50 percent of his classmates who had no history of varicella. The effectiveness of the vaccine was 44.0 percent (95 percent confidence interval, 6.9 to 66.3 percent) against disease of any severity and 86.0 percent (95 percent confidence interval, 38.7 to 96.8 percent) against moderate or severe disease. Children who had been vaccinated three years or more before the outbreak were at greater risk for vaccine failure than those who had been vaccinated more recently (relative risk, 2.6 [95 percent confidence interval, 1.3 to 5.3]). CONCLUSIONS: In this outbreak, vaccination provided poor protection against varicella, although there was good protection against moderate or severe disease. A longer interval since vaccination was associated with an increased risk of vaccine failure. Breakthrough infections in vaccinated, healthy persons can be as infectious as varicella in unvaccinated persons.

BACKGROUND: Varicella epidemiology is changing with increasing use of the varicella vaccine. METHODS: To describe the epidemiology of severe varicella disease before and after vaccine introduction, data from the National Hospital Discharge Survey (NHDS) for 1988 to 1999 were analyzed. Incidental cases of varicella in persons hospitalized for a different indication were excluded. RESULTS: In the prevaccination era (1988 to 1995), there were 10 632 varicella hospitalizations annually. The most common complications were viral pneumonitis (20.9%), fluid/electrolyte disturbances (19.3%) and soft tissue infections (17.8%). Most (89.1%) persons had no severe underlying immunocompromising conditions. The mean length of hospitalization was 5.4 days, corresponding to approximately 57 000 days of hospitalization annually. In the first years after vaccine licensure (1996 to 1999), vaccine coverage reached 59%. Although not statistically significant, there was a trend toward decreased hospitalizations and a decline in mean length of hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: Varicella morbidity was higher in the prevaccination era than previously reported. Although no significant decline is evident, a trend toward decreased hospitalizations is emerging in the first years after vaccine introduction.