Dora Niedersüß‐Beke

BACKGROUND: Metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) remains a lethal disease. Survival, however, is increasing due to a growing number of treatment options. Yet due to the number of prognostic factors and their interactions, prediction of mortality is difficult. The aim of this study is to provide a clinical model supporting prognostication of mCRC mortality in daily practice. METHODS: Data from 1104 patients with mCRC in three prospective cancer datasets were used to construct and validate Cox models. Input factors for stepwise backward method variable selection were sex, RAS/BRAF-status, microsatellite status, treatment type (no treatment, systemic treatment with or without resection of metastasis), tumor load, location of primary tumor, metastatic patterns and synchronous or metachronous disease. The final prognostic model for prediction of survival at two and 3 years was validated via bootstrapping to obtain calibration and discrimination C-indices and dynamic time dependent AUC. RESULTS: Age, sidedness, number of organs with metastases, lung as only site of metastasis, BRAF mutation status and treatment type were selected for the model. Treatment type had the most prominent influence on survival (resection of metastasis HR 0.26, CI 0.21-0.32; any treatment vs no treatment HR 0.31, CI 0.21-0.32), followed by BRAF mutational status (HR 2.58, CI 1.19-1.59). Validation showed high accuracy with C-indices of 72.2 and 71.4%, and dynamic time dependent AUC's of 76.7 ± 1.53% (both at 2 or 3 years), respectively. CONCLUSION: The mCRC mortality prediction model is well calibrated and internally valid. It has the potential to support both, clinical prognostication for treatment decisions and patient communication.

PURPOSE The anti-NECTIN4 antibody-drug conjugate enfortumab vedotin (EV) is approved for patients with metastatic urothelial cancer (mUC). However, durable benefit is only achieved in a small, yet uncharacterized patient subset. NECTIN4 is located on chromosome 1q23.3, and 1q23.3 gains represent frequent copy number variations (CNVs) in urothelial cancer. Here, we aimed to evaluate NECTIN4 amplifications as a genomic biomarker to predict EV response in patients with mUC. MATERIALS AND METHODS We established a NECTIN4-specific fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) assay to assess the predictive value of NECTIN4 CNVs in a multicenter EV-treated mUC patient cohort (mUC-EV, n = 108). CNVs were correlated with membranous NECTIN4 protein expression, EV treatment responses, and outcomes. We also assessed the prognostic value of NECTIN4 CNVs measured in metastatic biopsies of non–EV-treated mUC (mUC-non-EV, n = 103). Furthermore, we queried The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) data sets (10,712 patients across 32 cancer types) for NECTIN4 CNVs. RESULTS NECTIN4 amplifications are frequent genomic events in muscle-invasive bladder cancer (TCGA bladder cancer data set: approximately 17%) and mUC (approximately 26% in our mUC cohorts). In mUC-EV, NECTIN4 amplification represents a stable genomic alteration during metastatic progression and associates with enhanced membranous NECTIN4 protein expression. Ninety-six percent (27 of 28) of patients with NECTIN4 amplifications demonstrated objective responses to EV compared with 32% (24 of 74) in the nonamplified subgroup ( P < .001). In multivariable Cox analysis adjusted for age, sex, and Bellmunt risk factors, NECTIN4 amplifications led to a 92% risk reduction for death (hazard ratio, 0.08 [95% CI, 0.02 to 0.34]; P < .001). In the mUC-non-EV, NECTIN4 amplifications were not associated with outcomes. TCGA Pan-Cancer analysis demonstrated that NECTIN4 amplifications occur frequently in other cancers, for example, in 5%-10% of breast and lung cancers. CONCLUSION NECTIN4 amplifications are genomic predictors of EV responses and long-term survival in patients with mUC.

BACKGROUND: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy with methotrexate-vinblastine-doxorubicin-cisplatin (MVAC) is the standard of care for muscle-invasive urothelial bladder cancer. Gemcitabine plus cisplatin (GC) shows similar efficacy with less toxicity in the metastatic setting and has therefore often been used interchangeably with MVAC. We report on the efficacy and safety of neoadjuvant GC in patients with locally advanced urothelial cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We prospectively evaluated 87 patients in 2 centers. Their median age was 68 years. Treatment consisted of 3× GC prior to radical cystectomy. The primary endpoint was pathologic response. The secondary endpoints were safety, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS). RESULTS: In all, 83 patients finished chemotherapy; 80 patients were evaluable for the primary endpoint. Pathologic complete response (pCR) was achieved in 22.5% and near pCR was seen in 33.7% of the patients. The 1-year PFS rate was 79.5% among those patients achieving ≤pT2 versus 100% among those patients achieving pCR or near pCR (p = 0.041). Five-year OS was 61.8% (95% CI 67.6 to NA). GC was well tolerated. Grade 3/4 toxicities occurred in 38% of the patients. There was no grade 3/4 renal toxicity, febrile neutropenia, or death. CONCLUSION: Neoadjuvant GC is a well-tolerated regimen. Although the pathologic response is lower than that reported with MVAC, our data support GC as a feasible option in the absence of a prospective randomized comparison, particularly for older patients, since its toxicity is lower than that of MVAC.

In this review, we revisit the pivotal role of fibroblast growth factor receptor 3 (FGFR3) in bladder cancer (BLCA), underscoring its prevalence in both non-muscle-invasive and muscle-invasive forms of the disease. FGFR3 mutations in up to half of BLCAs play a well-established role in tumorigenesis, shaping distinct tumor initiation patterns and impacting the tumor microenvironment (TME). Emphasizing the importance of considering epithelial-mesenchymal transition profile and TME status, we revisit their relevance in predicting responses to immune checkpoint inhibitors in FGFR3-mutated BLCAs. This writing highlights the initially promising yet transient efficacy of the FGFR inhibitor Erdafitinib on FGFR3-mutated BLCA, stressing the pressing need to unravel resistance mechanisms and identify co-targets for future combinatorial studies. A thorough analysis of recent preclinical and clinical evidence reveals resistance mechanisms, including secondary mutations, epigenetic alterations in pathway effectors, phenotypic heterogeneity, and population-specific variations within FGFR3 mutational status. Lastly, we discuss the potential of combinatorial treatments and concepts like synthetic lethality for discovering more effective targeted therapies against FGFR3-mutated BLCA.

Background Metastatic patterns have been linked with prognosis in colorectal cancer. We aim to determine the distribution of metastases, their dynamics during disease and their prognostic impact for specific clinical treatment scenarios (resection of metastasis and/or systemic treatment, best supportive care).Material and methods 978 patients diagnosed with metastatic colorectal adenocarcinoma treated at three oncological centers from 2006 to 2018 were included. Overall survival was assessed depending on tumor load, distribution of metastases and treatment of the patients.Results Most patients had single site metastasis (n = 684; 69.9%): 398 patients had liver (n = 398; 40.7%) and 103 patients had lung only metastasis (10.6%). The number of organs involved in metastases at diagnosis was highly prognostic (HR 0.77; CI 0.65, 0.90), whereas the additional gain of metastases during progression of the disease was not. The majority of patients (62.9–74.2%) with initial lung, liver or both metastases retained their initial metastatic status. In the overall population, lung only metastases were associated with the most favorable outcome (HR 0.64; CI 0.50, 0.81). This was also observed in patients receiving best supportive care (HR 0.45; CI 0.27, 0.75). Resection of lung only metastases resulted in longer median survival (102.2 months). A relevant survival difference in patients treated by systemic therapy alone was not observed. Lung only metastasis was associated with rectal cancer (p < .001) and RAS-mutation (p = .01); both, lung and liver metastasis were associated with time from diagnosis to first metastasis (p < .001).Conclusion The number of organs involved in metastasis at diagnosis but not the total cumulative number of involved organs is of prognostic relevance in colorectal adenocarcinoma. This prognostic relevant initial metastasis distribution remains unchanged in the majority of patients during the disease. However, the prognostic impact of the metastatic pattern is potentially altered by treatment modality.