Frederik Prip

The molecular landscape in non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) is characterized by large biological heterogeneity with variable clinical outcomes. Here, we perform an integrative multi-omics analysis of patients diagnosed with NMIBC (n = 834). Transcriptomic analysis identifies four classes (1, 2a, 2b and 3) reflecting tumor biology and disease aggressiveness. Both transcriptome-based subtyping and the level of chromosomal instability provide independent prognostic value beyond established prognostic clinicopathological parameters. High chromosomal instability, p53-pathway disruption and APOBEC-related mutations are significantly associated with transcriptomic class 2a and poor outcome. RNA-derived immune cell infiltration is associated with chromosomally unstable tumors and enriched in class 2b. Spatial proteomics analysis confirms the higher infiltration of class 2b tumors and demonstrates an association between higher immune cell infiltration and lower recurrence rates. Finally, the independent prognostic value of the transcriptomic classes is documented in 1228 validation samples using a single sample classification tool. The classifier provides a framework for biomarker discovery and for optimizing treatment and surveillance in next-generation clinical trials.

Overtreatment with cisplatin-based chemotherapy is a major issue in the management of muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC), and currently none of the reported biomarkers for predicting response have been implemented in the clinic. Here we perform a comprehensive multi-omics analysis (genomics, transcriptomics, epigenomics and proteomics) of 300 MIBC patients treated with chemotherapy (neoadjuvant or first-line) to identify molecular changes associated with treatment response. DNA-based associations with response converge on genomic instability driven by a high number of chromosomal alterations, indels, signature 5 mutations and/or BRCA2 mutations. Expression data identifies the basal/squamous gene expression subtype to be associated with poor response. Immune cell infiltration and high PD-1 protein expression are associated with treatment response. Through integration of genomic and transcriptomic data, we demonstrate patient stratification to groups of low and high likelihood of cisplatin-based response. This could pave the way for future patient selection following validation in prospective clinical trials.

BACKGROUND: The functional status of immune cells in the tumor microenvironment and tumor characteristics may explain bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) failure in high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). OBJECTIVE: To characterize molecular correlates of post-BCG high-grade (HG) recurrence using multiomics analysis. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Patients with BCG-treated NMIBC (n = 156) were included in the study. Metachronous tumors were analyzed using RNA sequencing (n = 170) and whole-exome sequencing (n = 195). Urine samples were analyzed for immuno-oncology-related proteins (n = 190) and tumor-derived DNA (tdDNA; n = 187). OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: The primary endpoint was post-BCG HG recurrence. Cox regression and Wilcoxon rank-sum, t, and Fisher's exact tests were used for analyses. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: BCG induced activation of the immune system regardless of clinical response; however, immunoinhibitory proteins were observed in the urine of patients with post-BCG HG recurrence (CD70, PD1, CD5). Post-BCG HG recurrence was associated with post-BCG T-cell exhaustion (p = 0.002). Pre-BCG tumors from patients with post-BCG T-cell exhaustion had high expression of genes related to cell division and immune function. A high predicted post-BCG exhaustion score for pre-BCG tumors was associated with worse post-BCG HG recurrence-free survival (HGRFS; p = 0.002). This was validated in independent cohorts. Pre-BCG class 2a and 2b tumors (UROMOL2021 scheme) were associated with worse post-BCG HGRFS (p = 0.015). Post-BCG exhaustion was observed in patients with high pre-BCG neoantigen load (p = 0.017) and MUC4 mutations (p = 0.002). Finally, the absence of post-BCG tdDNA clearance identified patients at high risk of recurrence (p = 0.018). The retrospective design and partial overlap for analyses are study limitations. CONCLUSIONS: Post-BCG HG recurrence may be caused by T-cell exhaustion. Tumor subtype and pre-BCG tumor characteristics may identify patients at high risk of post-BCG HG recurrence. Urinary measurements have potential for real-time assessment of treatment response. PATIENT SUMMARY: A dysfunctional immune response to bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) therapy may explain high-grade recurrences of bladder cancer.

Our study identified multiple novel loci associated with bladder cancer susceptibility, bringing the number of independent markers at genome-wide significance to 24. Genetic susceptibility markers, coupled with lifestyle risk factors such as smoking, could guide future preventive measures and screening strategies for bladder cancer. Genomic regions identified by genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for bladder cancer risk provide new insights into etiology. To identify new susceptibility variants for bladder cancer in a meta-analysis of new and existing genome-wide genotype data. Data from 32 studies that includes 13,790 bladder cancer cases and 343, 502 controls of European ancestry were used for meta-analysis. Log-additive associations of genetic variants were assessed using logistic regression models. A fixed-effects model was used for meta-analysis of the results. Stratified analyses were conducted to evaluate effect modification by sex and smoking status. A polygenic risk score (PRS) was generated on the basis of known and novel susceptibility variants and tested for interaction with smoking. Multiple novel bladder cancer susceptibility loci (6p.22.3, 7q36.3, 8q21.13, 9p21.3, 10q22.1, 19q13.33) as well as improved signals in three known regions (4p16.3, 5p15.33, 11p15.5) were identified, bringing the number of independent markers at genome-wide significance ( p < 5 × 10 −8 ) to 24. The 4p16.3 ( FGFR3/TACC3) locus was associated with a stronger risk for women than for men ( p-interaction = 0.002). Bladder cancer risk was increased by interactions between smoking status and genetic variants at 8p22 ( NAT2 ; multiplicative p value for interaction [ p M-I ] = 0.004), 8q21.13 ( PAG1 ; p M-I = 0.01), and 9p21.3 ( LOC107987026/MTAP/CDKN2A ; p M-I = 0.02). The PRS based on the 24 independent GWAS markers (odds ratio per standard deviation increase 1.49, 95% confidence interval 1.44–1.53), which also showed comparable results in two prospective cohorts (UK Biobank, PLCO trial), revealed an approximately fourfold difference in the lifetime risk of bladder cancer according to the PRS (e.g., 1st vs 10th decile) for both smokers and nonsmokers. We report novel loci associated with risk of bladder cancer that provide clues to its biological underpinnings. Using 24 independent markers, we constructed a PRS to stratify lifetime risk. The PRS combined with smoking history, and other established risk factors, has the potential to inform future screening efforts for bladder cancer. We identified new genetic markers that provide biological insights into the genetic causes of bladder cancer. These genetic risk factors combined with lifestyle risk factors, such as smoking, may inform future preventive and screening strategies for bladder cancer.

BACKGROUND: Field cancerization is characterized by areas of normal tissue affected by mutated clones. Bladder field cancerization may explain the development and recurrence of bladder cancer and may be associated with treatment outcomes. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the predictive and prognostic roles of field cancerization in patients with high-risk non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) treated with bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: We conducted comprehensive genomic and proteomic analyses for 751 bladder biopsies and 234 urine samples from 136 patients with NMIBC. The samples were collected at multiple time points during the disease course. Field cancerization in normal-appearing bladder biopsies was measured using deep-targeted sequencing and error correction models. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Endpoints included the rates of recurrence and progression. Cox regression and Wilcoxon rank-sum and Fisher's exact tests were used. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: A high level of field cancerization was associated with high tumor mutational burden (p = 0.007), high tumor neoantigen load (p = 0.029), and high tumor-associated CD8 T-cell exhaustion (p = 0.017). In addition, high field cancerization was associated with worse short-term outcomes (p = 0.029). Nonsynonymous mutations in bladder cancer-associated genes such as KDM6A, ARID1A, and TP53 were identified as early disease drivers already found in normal-appearing bladder biopsies. Urinary tumor DNA (utDNA) levels reflected the bladder tumor burden and originated from tumors and field cancerization. High levels of utDNA after BCG were associated with worse clinical outcomes (p = 0.027) and with disease progression (p = 0.003). High field cancerization resulted in high urinary levels of proteins associated with angiogenesis and proliferation. Limitations include variation in the number of biopsies and time points analyzed. CONCLUSIONS: Field cancerization levels are associated with tumor development, immune responses, and clinical outcomes. utDNA measurements can be used to monitor disease status and treatment response. PATIENT SUMMARY: Molecular changes in the tissue lining the bladder result in tumor recurrence. Urinary measurements may be used to monitor bladder cancer status and treatment responses.