Risk for Transportation of Coronavirus Disease from Wuhan to Other Cities in China
Zhanwei Du(Santa Fe Institute), Lin Wang(Santa Fe Institute), Simon Cauchemez(Santa Fe Institute), Xiao-Ke Xu(Santa Fe Institute), Xianwen Wang(Santa Fe Institute), Benjamin J. Cowling(Santa Fe Institute), Lauren Ancel Meyers(Santa Fe Institute)
Cited by 418Open Access
Abstract
On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas.
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