The impact of age and comorbidity on the postoperative outcomes after emergency surgical management of complicated intra-abdominal infections

Carmen Payá‐Llorente(Hospital Universitario Doctor Peset), Elías Martínez-López(Hospital Universitario Doctor Peset), Juan Carlos Sebastián‐Tomás(Hospital Universitario Doctor Peset), Sandra Santarrufina Martínez(Hospital Universitario Doctor Peset), Nicola de’Angelis(Hôpitaux Universitaires Henri-Mondor), Aleix Martínez‐Pérez(Hospital Universitario Doctor Peset)
Scientific Reports
January 31, 2020
Cited by 40Open Access
Full Text

Abstract

Age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index (a-CCI) score has been used to weight comorbid conditions in predicting adverse outcomes. A retrospective cohort study on adult patients diagnosed with complicated intra-abdominal infections (cIAI) requiring emergency surgery was conducted in order to elucidate the role of age and comorbidity in this scenario. Two main outcomes were evaluated: 90-day severe postoperative complications (grade ≥ 3 of Dindo-Clavien Classification), and 90-day all-cause mortality. 358 patients were analyzed. a-CCI score for each patient was calculated and then divided in two comorbid categories whether they were ≤ or > to percentile 75 ( = 4): Grade-A (0-4) and Grade-B ( ≥ 5). Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed, and the predictive validity of the models was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) curve. Independent predictors of 90-day severe postoperative complications were Charlson Grade-B (Odds Ratio [OR] = 3.49, 95% confidence interval [95%CI]: 1.86-6.52; p < 0.0001), healthcare-related infections (OR = 7.84, 95%CI: 3.99-15.39; p < 0.0001), diffuse peritonitis (OR = 2.64, 95%CI: 1.45-4.80; p < 0.01), and delay of surgery > 24 hours (OR = 2.28, 95%CI: 1.18-4.68; p < 0.02). The AUROC was 0.815 (95%CI: 0.758-0.872). Independent predictors of 90-day mortality were Charlson Grade-B (OR = 8.30, 95%CI: 3.58-19.21; p < 0.0001), healthcare-related infections (OR = 6.38, 95%CI: 2.72-14.95; p < 0.0001), sepsis status (OR = 3.98, 95%CI: 1.04-15.21; p < 0.04) and diffuse peritonitis (OR = 3.06, 95%CI: 1.29-7.27; p < 0.01). The AUROC for mortality was 0.887 (95%CI: 0.83-0.93). Post-hoc sensitivity analyses confirmed that the degree of comorbidity, estimated by using an age-adjusted score, has a critical impact on the postoperative course following emergency surgery for cIAI. Early assessment and management of patient's comorbidity is mandatory at emergency setting.


Related Papers

No related papers found

Powered by citation graph analysis