Real-time tentative assessment of the epidemiological characteristics of novel coronavirus infections in Wuhan, China, as at 22 January 2020
Peng Wu(University of Hong Kong), Xinxin Hao(University of Hong Kong), Eric H. Y. Lau(University of Hong Kong), Jessica Y. Wong(University of Hong Kong), Kathy Leung(University of Hong Kong), Joseph T. Wu(University of Hong Kong), Benjamin J. Cowling(University of Hong Kong), GM Leung(University of Hong Kong)
Cited by 504Open Access
Abstract
A novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) causing severe acute respiratory disease emerged recently in Wuhan, China. Information on reported cases strongly indicates human-to-human spread, and the most recent information is increasingly indicative of sustained human-to-human transmission. While the overall severity profile among cases may change as more mild cases are identified, we estimate a risk of fatality among hospitalised cases at 14% (95% confidence interval: 3.9-32%).
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