The human imperative of stabilizing global climate change at 1.5°C

Ove Hoegh‐Guldberg(The University of Queensland), Daniela Jacob(German Climate Computing Centre), Michael A. Taylor(University of the West Indies), Tania Guillén Bolaños(German Climate Computing Centre), Marco Bindi(University of Florence), Sally Brown(University of Southampton), Inés Camilloni(Instituto Franco-Argentino sobre Estudios de Clima y sus Impactos), Arona Diédhiou(Institut polytechnique de Grenoble), Riyanti Djalante(Universitas Halu Oleo), Kristie L. Ebi(University of Washington), François Engelbrecht(University of the Witwatersrand), Joël Guiot(Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique), Yasuaki Hijioka(National Institute for Environmental Studies), Shagun Mehrotra(World Bank), Chris Hope(University of Cambridge), A. J. Payne(University of Bristol), Hans‐Otto Pörtner(Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung), Sonia I. Seneviratne(ETH Zurich), Adelle Thomas(Climate Analytics), Rachel Warren(University of East Anglia), Guangsheng Zhou(Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences)
Science
September 19, 2019
Cited by 1,014Open Access
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Abstract

Increased concentrations of atmospheric greenhouse gases have led to a global mean surface temperature 1.0°C higher than during the pre-industrial period. We expand on the recent IPCC Special Report on global warming of 1.5°C and review the additional risks associated with higher levels of warming, each having major implications for multiple geographies, climates, and ecosystems. Limiting warming to 1.5°C rather than 2.0°C would be required to maintain substantial proportions of ecosystems and would have clear benefits for human health and economies. These conclusions are relevant for people everywhere, particularly in low- and middle-income countries, where the escalation of climate-related risks may prevent the achievement of the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals.


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