June He

Abstract Rationale Two distinct subphenotypes have been identified in acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), but the presence of subgroups in ARDS associated with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is unknown. Objectives To identify clinically relevant, novel subgroups in COVID-19–related ARDS and compare them with previously described ARDS subphenotypes. Methods Eligible participants were adults with COVID-19 and ARDS at Columbia University Irving Medical Center. Latent class analysis was used to identify subgroups with baseline clinical, respiratory, and laboratory data serving as partitioning variables. A previously developed machine learning model was used to classify patients as the hypoinflammatory and hyperinflammatory subphenotypes. Baseline characteristics and clinical outcomes were compared between subgroups. Heterogeneity of treatment effect for corticosteroid use in subgroups was tested. Measurements and Main Results From March 2, 2020, to April 30, 2020, 483 patients with COVID-19–related ARDS met study criteria. A two-class latent class analysis model best fit the population (P = 0.0075). Class 2 (23%) had higher proinflammatory markers, troponin, creatinine, and lactate, lower bicarbonate, and lower blood pressure than class 1 (77%). Ninety-day mortality was higher in class 2 versus class 1 (75% vs. 48%; P < 0.0001). Considerable overlap was observed between these subgroups and ARDS subphenotypes. Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) RT-PCR cycle threshold was associated with mortality in the hypoinflammatory but not the hyperinflammatory phenotype. Heterogeneity of treatment effect to corticosteroids was observed (P = 0.0295), with improved mortality in the hyperinflammatory phenotype and worse mortality in the hypoinflammatory phenotype, with the caveat that corticosteroid treatment was not randomized. Conclusions We identified two COVID-19–related ARDS subgroups with differential outcomes, similar to previously described ARDS subphenotypes. SARS-CoV-2 PCR cycle threshold had differential value for predicting mortality in the subphenotypes. The subphenotypes had differential treatment responses to corticosteroids.

Background and Purpose— Cerebral edema (CED) develops in the hours to days after stroke; the resulting increase in brain volume may lead to midline shift (MLS) and neurological deterioration. The time course and implications of edema formation are not well characterized across the spectrum of stroke. We analyzed displacement of cerebrospinal fluid (ΔCSF) as a dynamic quantitative imaging biomarker of edema formation. Methods— We selected subjects enrolled in a stroke cohort study who presented within 6 hours of onset and had baseline and ≥1 follow-up brain computed tomography scans available. We applied a neural network-based algorithm to quantify hemispheric CSF volume at each imaging time point and modeled CSF trajectory over time (using a piecewise linear mixed-effects model). We evaluated ΔCSF within the first 24 hours as an early biomarker of CED (defined as developing MLS on computed tomography beyond 24 hours) and poor outcome (modified Rankin Scale score, 3–6). Results— We had serial imaging in 738 subjects with stroke, of whom 91 (13%) developed CED with MLS. Age did not differ (69 versus 70 years), but baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale was higher (16 versus 7) and baseline CSF volume lower (132 versus 161 mL, both P <0.001) in those with CED. ΔCSF was faster in those developing MLS, with the majority seen by 24 hours (36% versus 11% or 2.4 versus 0.8 mL/h; P <0.0001). Risk of CED almost doubled for every 10% ΔCSF within 24 hours (odds ratio, 1.76 [95% CI, 1.46–2.14]), adjusting for age, glucose, and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale. Risk of neurological deterioration (1.6-point increase in National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale at 24 hours) and poor outcome (adjusted odds ratio, 1.34 [95% CI, 1.15–1.56]) was also greater for every 10% increase in ΔCSF. Conclusions— CSF volumetrics provides quantitative evaluation of early edema formation. ΔCSF from baseline to 24-hour computed tomography is a promising early biomarker for the development of MLS and worse neurological outcome.