K. Elias

PURPOSE: Patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) show heterogeneous outcomes, and approximately 60% of them are at intermediate-risk according to the Revised International Staging system (R-ISS), the standard-of-care risk stratification model. Moreover, chromosome 1q gain/amplification (1q+) recently proved to be a poor prognostic factor. In this study, we revised the R-ISS by analyzing the additive value of each single risk feature, including 1q+. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The European Myeloma Network, within the HARMONY project, collected individual data from 10,843 patients with NDMM enrolled in 16 clinical trials. An additive scoring system on the basis of top features predicting progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) was developed and validated. RESULTS: In the training set (N = 7,072), at a median follow-up of 75 months, ISS, del(17p), lactate dehydrogenase, t(4;14), and 1q+ had the highest impact on PFS and OS. These variables were all simultaneously present in 2,226 patients. A value was assigned to each risk feature according to their OS impact (ISS-III 1.5, ISS-II 1, del(17p) 1, high lactate dehydrogenase 1, and 1q+ 0.5 points). Patients were stratified into four risk groups according to the total additive score: low (Second Revision of the International Staging System [R2-ISS]-I, 19.2%, 0 points), low-intermediate (II, 30.8%, 0.5-1 points), intermediate-high (III, 41.2%, 1.5-2.5 points), high (IV, 8.8%, 3-5 points). Median OS was not reached versus 109.2 versus 68.5 versus 37.9 months, and median PFS was 68 versus 45.5 versus 30.2 versus 19.9 months, respectively. The score was validated in an independent validation set (N = 3,771, of whom 1,214 were with complete data to calculate R2-ISS) maintaining its prognostic value. CONCLUSION: The R2-ISS is a simple prognostic staging system allowing a better stratification of patients with intermediate-risk NDMM. The additive nature of this score fosters its future implementation with new prognostic variables.

PURPOSE Outcomes for patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) are heterogenous, with overall survival (OS) ranging from months to over 10 years. METHODS To decipher and predict the molecular and clinical heterogeneity of NDMM, we assembled a series of 1,933 patients with available clinical, genomic, and therapeutic data. RESULTS Leveraging a comprehensive catalog of genomic drivers, we identified 12 groups, expanding on previous gene expression–based molecular classifications. To build a model predicting individualized risk in NDMM (IRMMa), we integrated clinical, genomic, and treatment variables. To correct for time-dependent variables, including high-dose melphalan followed by autologous stem-cell transplantation (HDM-ASCT), and maintenance therapy, a multi-state model was designed. The IRMMa model accuracy was significantly higher than all comparator prognostic models, with a c-index for OS of 0.726, compared with International Staging System (ISS; 0.61), revised-ISS (0.572), and R2-ISS (0.625). Integral to model accuracy was 20 genomic features, including 1q21 gain/amp, del 1p, TP53 loss, NSD2 translocations, APOBEC mutational signatures, and copy-number signatures (reflecting the complex structural variant chromothripsis). IRMMa accuracy and superiority compared with other prognostic models were validated on 256 patients enrolled in the GMMG-HD6 (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02495922 ) clinical trial. Individualized patient risks were significantly affected across the 12 genomic groups by different treatment strategies (ie, treatment variance), which was used to identify patients for whom HDM-ASCT is particularly effective versus patients for whom the impact is limited. CONCLUSION Integrating clinical, demographic, genomic, and therapeutic data, to our knowledge, we have developed the first individualized risk-prediction model enabling personally tailored therapeutic decisions for patients with NDMM.

The prospective, randomized phase III trial GMMG-HD2 aimed at demonstrating non-inferiority of single (Arm A) versus tandem (Arm B) high-dose melphalan followed by autologous transplantation (HDM/ASCT) with regard to 2-year event-free survival (EFS) in newly-diagnosed multiple myeloma (MM) and included 358 evaluable patients [Intention-to-treat population, (ITT), single/tandem HDM/ASCT: n = 177/181]. After a median follow-up of more than 11 years, non-inferiority of single versus tandem HDM/ASCT was demonstrated using the planned non-inferiority threshold of 15% of the 2-year EFS rate. Neither EFS (P = 0·53) nor overall survival (OS) (P = 0·33) differences were observed in the ITT population. In the tandem arm, 26% (n = 47/181) of patients refused a second HDM/ASCT due to non-medical reasons. A per-protocol (PP) analysis, including patients who received the intervention (single/tandem HDM/ASCT: n = 156/93) and patients who did not receive a second HDM/ASCT due to medical reasons (12%, n = 22/181), did not yield differences in EFS (P = 0·61) or OS (P = 0·16). In the ITT and PP set of the tandem arm, the rates of complete responses increased from first to second HDM/ASCT (both P = 0·04). Ten-year OS for the entire ITT was 34% (95% confidence interval: 29-40%). OS after first relapse was significantly shortened in the tandem arm (P = 0·04). In this study single HDM/ASCT was non-inferior to tandem HDM/ASCT in MM.

Previously, addition of isatuximab (Isa) to standard-of-care lenalidomide-bortezomib-dexamethasone (RVd) in transplant-eligible patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma in the GMMG-HD7 trial (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03617731 ) resulted in a significant increase of minimal residual disease negativity (MRD–) rates after induction therapy. A total of 662 patients were randomly assigned to receive induction therapy with Isa-RVd (n = 331) or RVd (n = 329), followed by single or tandem autologous stem-cell transplant and second random assignment to maintenance with lenalidomide alone or Isa-lenalidomide. We report updated results for part 1 from first random assignment to post-transplant. As of January 31, 2024, MRD– rates continued to deepen after transplant (66% Isa-RVd v 48% RVd). Isa-RVd induction therapy significantly prolonged progression-free survival (PFS) compared with RVd regardless of maintenance therapy (hazard ratio, 0.70 [95% CI, 0.52 to 0.95]; P = .0184). Weighted risk set estimator analysis accounting for second random assignment followed by maintenance with only lenalidomide confirmed a statistically significant benefit for Isa-RVd followed by lenalidomide maintenance versus RVd followed by lenalidomide maintenance (stratified weighted log-rank test P = .016). In conclusion, after 18-week induction therapy followed by transplant without consolidation therapy, adding Isa to RVd resulted in a significant PFS benefit, regardless of maintenance strategy.