Stephen E. Straus

AIMS: To determine the prevalence, incidence rate, lifetime risk and prognosis of heart failure. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Rotterdam Study is a prospective population-based cohort study in 7983 participants aged > or =55. Heart failure was defined according to criteria of the European Society of Cardiology. Prevalence was higher in men and increased with age from 0.9% in subjects aged 55-64 to 17.4% in those aged > or =85. Incidence rate of heart failure was 14.4/1000 person-years (95% CI 13.4-15.5) and was higher in men (17.6/1000 man-years, 95% CI 15.8-19.5) than in women (12.5/1000 woman-years, 95% CI 11.3-13.8). Incidence rate increased with age from 1.4/1000 person-years in those aged 55-59 to 47.4/1000 person-years in those aged > or =90. Lifetime risk was 33% for men and 29% for women at the age of 55. Survival after incident heart failure was 86% at 30 days, 63% at 1 year, 51% at 2 years and 35% at 5 years of follow-up. CONCLUSION: Prevalence and incidence rates of heart failure are high. In individuals aged 55, almost 1 in 3 will develop heart failure during their remaining lifespan. Heart failure continues to be a fatal disease, with only 35% surviving 5 years after the first diagnosis.

Chronic fatigue syndrome is characterized by persistent or relapsing debilitating fatigue for at least 6 months in the absence of a medical diagnosis that would explain the clinical presentation. Because primary glucocorticoid deficiency states and affective disorders putatively associated with a deficiency of the arousal-producing neuropeptide CRH can be associated with similar symptoms, we report here a study of the functional integrity of the various components of the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis in patients meeting research case criteria for chronic fatigue syndrome. Thirty patients and 72 normal volunteers were studied. Basal activity of the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis was estimated by determinations of 24-h urinary free cortisol-excretion, evening basal plasma total and free cortisol concentrations, and the cortisol binding globulin-binding capacity. The adrenal cortex was evaluated indirectly by cortisol responses during ovine CRH (oCRH) stimulation testing and directly by cortisol responses to graded submaximal doses of ACTH. Plasma ACTH and cortisol responses to oCRH were employed as a direct measure of the functional integrity of the pituitary corticotroph cell. Central CRH secretion was assessed by measuring its level in cerebrospinal fluid. Compared to normal subjects, patients demonstrated significantly reduced basal evening glucocorticoid levels (89.0 +/- 8.7 vs. 148.4 +/- 20.3 nmol/L; P less than 0.01) and low 24-h urinary free cortisol excretion (122.7 +/- 8.9 vs. 203.1 +/- 10.7 nmol/24 h; P less than 0.0002), but elevated basal evening ACTH concentrations. There was increased adrenocortical sensitivity to ACTH, but a reduced maximal response [F(3.26, 65.16) = 5.50; P = 0.0015). Patients showed attenuated net integrated ACTH responses to oCRH (128.0 +/- 26.4 vs. 225.4 +/- 34.5 pmol/L.min, P less than 0.04). Cerebrospinal fluid CRH levels in patients were no different from control values (8.4 +/- 0.6 vs. 7.7 +/- 0.5 pmol/L; P = NS). Although we cannot definitively account for the etiology of the mild glucocorticoid deficiency seen in chronic fatigue syndrome patients, the enhanced adrenocortical sensitivity to exogenous ACTH and blunted ACTH responses to oCRH are incompatible with a primary adrenal insufficiency. A pituitary source is also unlikely, since basal evening plasma ACTH concentrations were elevated. Hence, the data are most compatible with a mild central adrenal insufficiency secondary to either a deficiency of CRH or some other central stimulus to the pituitary-adrenal axis. Whether a mild glucocorticoid deficiency or a putative deficiency of an arousal-producing neuropeptide such as CRH is related to the clinical symptomatology of the chronic fatigue syndrome remains to be determined.

To further understand the role of cytokine responses in symptom formation and host defenses in influenza infection, we determined the levels of IL-1beta, IL-2, IL-6, IL-8, IFN-alpha, TGF-beta, and TNF-alpha in nasal lavage fluid, plasma, and serum obtained serially from 19 volunteers experimentally infected with influenza A/Texas/36/91 (H1N1) and correlated these levels with various measures of infection and illness severity. We found that IL-6 and IFN-alpha levels in nasal lavage fluids peaked early (day 2) and correlated directly with viral titers, temperature, mucus production, and symptom scores. IL-6 elevations were also found in the circulation at this time point. In contrast, TNF-alpha responses peaked later (day 3 in plasma, day 4 in nasal fluids), when viral shedding and symptoms were subsiding. Similarly, IL-8 peaked late in the illness course (days 4-6) and correlated only with lower respiratory symptoms, which also occurred late. None of IL-1beta, IL-2, or TGF-beta levels increased significantly. These data implicate IL-6 and IFN-alpha as key factors both in symptom formation and host defense in influenza.