The PREDICT study uncovers three clinical courses of acutely decompensated cirrhosis that have distinct pathophysiologyBACKGROUND & AIMS: Acute decompensation (AD) of cirrhosis is defined as the acute development of ascites, gastrointestinal hemorrhage, hepatic encephalopathy, infection or any combination thereof, requiring hospitalization. The presence of organ failure(s) in patients with AD defines acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). The PREDICT study is a European, prospective, observational study, designed to characterize the clinical course of AD and to identify predictors of ACLF. METHODS: A total of 1,071 patients with AD were enrolled. We collected detailed pre-specified information on the 3-month period prior to enrollment, and clinical and laboratory data at enrollment. Patients were then closely followed up for 3 months. Outcomes (liver transplantation and death) at 1 year were also recorded. RESULTS: Three groups of patients were identified. Pre-ACLF patients (n = 218) developed ACLF and had 3-month and 1-year mortality rates of 53.7% and 67.4%, respectively. Unstable decompensated cirrhosis (UDC) patients (n = 233) required ≥1 readmission but did not develop ACLF and had mortality rates of 21.0% and 35.6%, respectively. Stable decompensated cirrhosis (SDC) patients (n = 620) were not readmitted, did not develop ACLF and had a 1-year mortality rate of only 9.5%. The 3 groups differed significantly regarding the grade and course of systemic inflammation (high-grade at enrollment with aggravation during follow-up in pre-ACLF; low-grade at enrollment with subsequent steady-course in UDC; and low-grade at enrollment with subsequent improvement in SDC) and the prevalence of surrogates of severe portal hypertension throughout the study (high in UDC vs. low in pre-ACLF and SDC). CONCLUSIONS: Acute decompensation without ACLF is a heterogeneous condition with 3 different clinical courses and 2 major pathophysiological mechanisms: systemic inflammation and portal hypertension. Predicting the development of ACLF remains a major future challenge. CLINICALTRIALS. GOV NUMBER: NCT03056612. LAY SUMMARY: Herein, we describe, for the first time, 3 different clinical courses of acute decompensation (AD) of cirrhosis after hospital admission. The first clinical course includes patients who develop acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and have a high short-term risk of death - termed pre-ACLF. The second clinical course (unstable decompensated cirrhosis) includes patients requiring frequent hospitalizations unrelated to ACLF and is associated with a lower mortality risk than pre-ACLF. Finally, the third clinical course (stable decompensated cirrhosis), includes two-thirds of all patients admitted to hospital with AD - patients in this group rarely require hospital admission and have a much lower 1-year mortality risk.
PREDICT identifies precipitating events associated with the clinical course of acutely decompensated cirrhosisBACKGROUND & AIMS: Acute decompensation (AD) of cirrhosis may present without acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) (AD-No ACLF), or with ACLF (AD-ACLF), defined by organ failure(s). Herein, we aimed to analyze and characterize the precipitants leading to both of these AD phenotypes. METHODS: The multicenter, prospective, observational PREDICT study (NCT03056612) included 1,273 non-electively hospitalized patients with AD (No ACLF = 1,071; ACLF = 202). Medical history, clinical data and laboratory data were collected at enrolment and during 90-day follow-up, with particular attention given to the following characteristics of precipitants: induction of organ dysfunction or failure, systemic inflammation, chronology, intensity, and relationship to outcome. RESULTS: Among various clinical events, 4 distinct events were precipitants consistently related to AD: proven bacterial infections, severe alcoholic hepatitis, gastrointestinal bleeding with shock and toxic encephalopathy. Among patients with precipitants in the AD-No ACLF cohort and the AD-ACLF cohort (38% and 71%, respectively), almost all (96% and 97%, respectively) showed proven bacterial infection and severe alcoholic hepatitis, either alone or in combination with other events. Survival was similar in patients with proven bacterial infections or severe alcoholic hepatitis in both AD phenotypes. The number of precipitants was associated with significantly increased 90-day mortality and was paralleled by increasing levels of surrogates for systemic inflammation. Importantly, adequate first-line antibiotic treatment of proven bacterial infections was associated with a lower ACLF development rate and lower 90-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified precipitants that are significantly associated with a distinct clinical course and prognosis in patients with AD. Specific preventive and therapeutic strategies targeting these events may improve outcomes in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. LAY SUMMARY: Acute decompensation (AD) of cirrhosis is characterized by a rapid deterioration in patient health. Herein, we aimed to analyze the precipitating events that cause AD in patients with cirrhosis. Proven bacterial infections and severe alcoholic hepatitis, either alone or in combination, accounted for almost all (96-97%) cases of AD and acute-on-chronic liver failure. Whilst the type of precipitant was not associated with mortality, the number of precipitant(s) was. This study identified precipitants that are significantly associated with a distinct clinical course and prognosis of patients with AD. Specific preventive and therapeutic strategies targeting these events may improve patient outcomes.
Association Between Grade of Acute on Chronic Liver Failure and Response to Terlipressin and Albumin in Patients With Hepatorenal SyndromeSalvatore Piano, Hartmut Schmidt, Xavier Ariza et al.|Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology|2018 Molecular Adsorbent Recirculating System Can Reduce Short-Term Mortality Among Patients With Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure—A Retrospective Analysis*OBJECTIVES: Acute-on-chronic liver failure is associated with numerous consecutive organ failures and a high short-term mortality rate. Molecular adsorbent recirculating system therapy has demonstrated beneficial effects on the distinct symptoms, but the associated mortality data remain controversial. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of acute-on-chronic liver failure patients receiving either standard medical treatment or standard medical treatment and molecular adsorbent recirculating system. Secondary analysis of data from the prospective randomized Recompensation of Exacerbated Liver Insufficiency with Hyperbilirubinemia and/or Encephalopathy and/or Renal Failure trial by applying the recently introduced Chronic Liver Failure-criteria. SETTING: Medical Departments of University Hospital Muenster (Germany). PATIENTS: This analysis was conducted in two parts. First, 101 patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure grades 1-3 and Chronic Liver Failure-C-Organ Failure liver subscore equals to 3 but stable pulmonary function were identified and received either standard medical treatment (standard medical treatment, n = 54) or standard medical treatment and molecular adsorbent recirculating system (n = 47) at the University Hospital Muenster. Second, the results of this retrospective analysis were tested against the Recompensation of Exacerbated Liver Insufficiency with Hyperbilirubinemia and/or Encephalopathy and/or Renal Failure trial. INTERVENTIONS: Standard medical treatment and molecular adsorbent recirculating system. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Additionally to improved laboratory variables (bilirubin and creatinine), the short-term mortality (up to day 14) of the molecular adsorbent recirculating system group was significantly reduced compared with standard medical treatment. A reduced 14-day mortality rate was observed in the molecular adsorbent recirculating system group (9.5% vs 50.0% with standard medical treatment; p = 0.004), especially in patients with multiple organ failure (acute-on-chronic liver failure grade 2-3). Concerning the affected organ system, this effect of molecular adsorbent recirculating system on mortality was particularly evident among patients with increased kidney, brain, or coagulation Chronic Liver Failure-C-Organ Failure subscores. Subsequent reanalysis of the Recompensation of Exacerbated Liver Insufficiency with Hyperbilirubinemia and/or Encephalopathy and/or Renal Failure dataset with adoption of the Chronic Liver Failure-classification resulted in similar findings. CONCLUSIONS: Molecular adsorbent recirculating system treatment was associated with an improved short-term survival of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure and multiple organ failure. Among these high-risk patients, molecular adsorbent recirculating system treatment might bridge to liver recovery or liver transplantation.
Recurrence of Hepatic Encephalopathy after TIPS: Effective Prophylaxis with Combination of Lactulose and RifaximinBackground: Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) implantation is an established procedure to treat portal hypertension with hepatic encephalopathy (HE) as a common complication. There is lack of evidence concerning HE prophylaxis after TIPS. Methods: N = 233 patients receiving TIPS between 2011 and 2018 at a German tertiary care center were included. Of them, 21% (n = 49) had a history of HE. The follow-up period was 12 months. The risk factors of post-TIPS HE were analyzed via multivariate analysis. The efficacy of prophylactic medication regimens was studied. The results show that 35.6% (n = 83) received no medication (NM), 36.5% (n = 85) received lactulose monoprophylaxis (LM), 2.6% (n = 6) rifaximin monoprophylaxis (RM) and 25.3% (n = 59) lactulose and rifaximin (LR) of which 64.4% received l-ornithin-l-aspartate (LOLA) additionally (LR + LOLA) and 36.6% did not (LRonly). Results: Multivariate analysis revealed higher age (p = 0.003) and HE episodes prior to TIPS (p = 0.004) as risk factors for HE after TIPS. LM has no prophylactic effect. LR prevents HE recurrence at 1, 3 and 12 months after TIPS (p = 0.003, p = 0.003, p = 0.006) but does not prevent HE in patients with no history of HE (p = 0.234, p = 0.483, p = 0.121). LR prevents HE recurrence compared with LM/NM (25.0% vs. 64.7%, p = 0.007) within 12 months after TIPS, whereas de novo occurrence is unaffected (p = 0.098). The additional administration of LOLA to LR has no benefit (LRonly: 25.0%, LR + LOLA: 29.7%, p = 0.780). Conclusions: Higher age and previous HE are risk factors post-TIPS HE. In patients with HE prior to TIPS, effective prophylaxis of HE is feasible via combination of lactulose and rifaximin with no additional benefit from LOLA.