Fatima Merali

Importance: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major cause of preventable strokes. Screening asymptomatic individuals for AF may increase anticoagulant use for stroke prevention. Objective: To evaluate 2 home-based AF screening interventions. Design, Setting, and Participants: This multicenter randomized clinical trial recruited individuals from primary care practices aged 75 years or older with hypertension and without known AF. From April 5, 2015, to March 26, 2019, 856 participants were enrolled from 48 practices. Interventions: The control group received standard care (routine clinical follow-up plus a pulse check and heart auscultation at baseline and 6 months). The screening group received a 2-week continuous electrocardiographic (cECG) patch monitor to wear at baseline and at 3 months, in addition to standard care. The screening group also received automated home blood pressure (BP) machines with oscillometric AF screening capability to use twice-daily during the cECG monitoring periods. Main Outcomes and Measures: With intention-to-screen analysis, the primary outcome was AF detected by cECG monitoring or clinically within 6 months. Secondary outcomes included anticoagulant use, device adherence, and AF detection by BP monitors. Results: Of the 856 participants, 487 were women (56.9%); mean (SD) age was 80.0 (4.0) years. Median cECG wear time was 27.4 of 28 days (interquartile range [IQR], 18.4-28.0 days). In the primary analysis, AF was detected in 23 of 434 participants (5.3%) in the screening group vs 2 of 422 (0.5%) in the control group (relative risk, 11.2; 95% CI, 2.7-47.1; P = .001; absolute difference, 4.8%; 95% CI, 2.6%-7.0%; P < .001; number needed to screen, 21). Of those with cECG-detected AF, median total time spent in AF was 6.3 hours (IQR, 4.2-14.0 hours; range 1.3 hours-28 days), and median duration of the longest AF episode was 5.7 hours (IQR, 2.9-12.9 hours). Anticoagulation was initiated in 15 of 20 patients (75.0%) with cECG-detected AF. By 6 months, anticoagulant therapy had been prescribed for 18 of 434 participants (4.1%) in the screening group vs 4 of 422 (0.9%) in the control group (relative risk, 4.4; 95% CI, 1.5-12.8; P = .007; absolute difference, 3.2%; 95% CI, 1.1%-5.3%; P = .003). Twice-daily AF screening using the home BP monitor had a sensitivity of 35.0% (95% CI, 15.4%-59.2%), specificity of 81.0% (95% CI, 76.7%-84.8%), positive predictive value of 8.9% (95% CI, 4.9%-15.5%), and negative predictive value of 95.9% (95% CI, 94.5%-97.0%). Adverse skin reactions requiring premature discontinuation of cECG monitoring occurred in 5 of 434 participants (1.2%). Conclusions and Relevance: In this randomized clinical trial, among older community-dwelling individuals with hypertension, AF screening with a wearable cECG monitor was well tolerated, increased AF detection 10-fold, and prompted initiation of anticoagulant therapy in most cases. Compared with continuous ECG, intermittent oscillometric screening with a BP monitor was an inferior strategy for detecting paroxysmal AF. Large trials with hard clinical outcomes are now needed to evaluate the potential benefits and harms of AF screening. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02392754.

Stress is known to induce abortions, but underlying mechanisms are unknown. Both alloimmunization and injection of antibody to the asialoGM1 determinant of natural killer cells have been shown to prevent stress-triggered abortion in mice. DBA/2J-mated CBA/J female mice were used to investigate the influence of stress during early gestation on systemic hormone levels and on cytokines in the decidua that are thought to be relevant to abortion in nonstress-related murine abortion. Lowered levels of progesterone did not occur as a result of stress. In stressed mice, increased levels of the abortogenic cytokine tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF alpha) were associated with decreased levels of pregnancy-protective transforming growth factor beta 2-related suppressive activity in uterine decidua. In the alloimmunized animals where stress failed to boost the abortion rate, these effects were abrogated. Production of TNF alpha may be stimulated by the neurotransmitter substance P (SP); after injection of an SP receptor antagonist or SP-antibody, stress failed to increase the abortion rate above the background level. The increased levels of TNF alpha we observed in the stressed animals were completely abrogated in the animals that had received the SP receptor antagonist; stress also failed to decrease the pregnancy-protective suppressive activity in the decidua of these animals. The data indicate that stress may inhibit protective suppressor mechanisms and promote secretion of abortogenic cytokines such as TNF alpha via neurotransmitter SP.

PROBLEM: Stress adversely affects pregnancy outcome and has been implicated as an abortogen in both animals and humans. However, the mechanisms whereby stress aborts are largely unknown. Alloimmunization can prevent stress-triggered abortion, and immunization is known to increase transforming growth factor-beta 2 (TGF-beta 2)-related suppressive activity. METHOD: To investigate these mechanisms, DBA/2J males were mated to CBA/J or C3H/HeJ females, and the pregnant females were exposed to ultrasonic sound stress for a period of 24 h between day 4.5 to 8.5 of pregnancy. RESULTS: Ultrasonic stress significantly elevated the resorption rate with a peak effect on day 5.5 in the CBA/J females and on day 4.5 in the LPS-resistant C3H/HeJ females. The tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-alpha) release from the decidua was also elevated and the TGF-beta 2-mediated suppressive activity was significantly decreased. The resorption rate only increased when the TNF-alpha/TGF-beta 2 ratio was increased compared to the control. CONCLUSION: These data suggest that stress may inhibit protective suppressor mechanisms and promote secretion of abortogenic cytokines such as TNF-alpha. Possible mechanisms are discussed.

PROBLEM: Some mammalian pregnancy failure is thought to occur by immunological or immunologically modifiable mechanisms. The original model wherein spontaneous abortion was proposed to represent rejection of the conceptus as an allograft has been supplanted by a model of maternal paraimmunological natural effector cell toxicity to fetal trophoblast more closely related to tumor rejection. The problem is to integrate current information concerning the role of immunological, paraimmunological, endocrinological, and stress-triggered neural factors that determine whether or not abortion will occur. METHODS: Review of existing data. RESULTS: An integrated model is proposed. CONCLUSION: Immunological factors play an important role in abortion processes and prevention of abortions. The existence of abortogenic mechanisms and their regulation appears to be based upon optimizing survival of the species. Two new conceptual models provide a useful framework for further investigation of human pregnancy failure and its treatment.